Former president Trump is leading Biden in seven key states, and around 2/3 of voters claimed that immigration policies are behind their decision not to back the President.
The alarming survey
A new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey focused on Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. In every state, Biden is 3 to 10 points behind Trump.
Polling by numbers
In Arizona, Trump is leading 47-43, while in Georgia, it is 49-42. Michigan polling showed Trump’s advantage is 47 to Biden’s 42, while Nevada is 48 to 40. In North Carolina, Trump is leading 49 to 39, in Pennsylvania 48 to 45, and in Wisconsin 49 to 44.
On average, Trump leads Biden 48-42
The majority of surveyed voters cited immigration, with 61% claiming the President is responsible for the border crisis. Around 30% blamed the Trump administration, while 38% blamed congressional Republicans for the borders.
The matter of trust
Voters’ trust regarding immigration is staggering 52% for Trump compared to 30% for Biden. That’s five points up compared to the December polling.
The economy is another burning issue
According to the Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey, 29% of voters in the poll said the US economy was on the “right direction.” However, 52% said the economy was on the “right direction” in their area. Yet, 51% trusted Trump to manage the issues over Biden’s 33%.
“Eye-popping numbers” for Trump
Alyssa Farah Griffin, who works for CNN and was White House communications director in the Trump administration, said these were “eye-popping numbers” for the 45th president. Griffin added on X, “This should be a 5 alarm fire for the Biden campaign.”
Trump’s looming trials
53% of voters would not vote for Trump if he is convicted, while 55% said they would not vote for him if he is jailed. The polling involved nearly 5,000 voters in seven swing states.
Voters did not want a rematch
Numerous polls concluded that the voters did not want a Biden – Trump rematch. Not only is the rematch unavoidable, but it will also be one of the longest campaigns in modern history.
Expect a “dirty” race
Talking to ABC News, presidential historian Mark Updegrove warned on a “dirty” race for the White House, who added, ” I think that Americans don’t have much of a stomach for that.”
Independents are leaning toward Biden
In a new Emerson College Polling, Biden gained a 37% approval rating among independents, which is four points up from December. His disapproval among independents fell from 52% to 45%.
Both candidates got boosts
Yahoo News/YouGov poll reported that Trump and Biden got significant boosts following the first primaries. According to this survey, Trump is leading 45 to 44.
Trump’s Black and Latino votes
Trump, who never won the popular vote, recently said, “Have you seen our poll numbers with African Americans and with Hispanic Americans? But I’m not that surprised because I see it. I feel it.” This suggests he’s ready to fight for Black and Latino votes, but that shouldn’t worry Biden. What is concerning is that the voters who supported him in 2020 might not show up at polls in 2024 due to a series of issues, most notably the border crisis and the economy.
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