While Trump’s nomination in the presidential elections is all but officially confirmed, according to Axios, the former president “believes” he will be convicted in the D.C. trial for alleged attempts to overturn the 2020 election.
Unnamed sources
The outlet quoted unnamed sources who shared that Trump “believes he’d likely be convicted” in the D.C. case, which focuses on the alleged attempts to overturn the 2020 election and covers events from November 2020 until January 6. But that’s not the only case that Trump should be worried about.
Manhattan case
Trump, according to Axios sources, also thinks he could face a conviction in the alleged hush money trial, set for late March in Manhattan. Yet, the outlet said the former president still “thinks” he could be re-elected, though his advisers allegedly worry that a guilty verdict would not sit well with the independent voters.
The state of the case in D.C. is puzzling
The trial was set for March 4. However, it has been postponed due to ongoing appeals. The appeals court should decide whether Trump’s presidential immunity covers his actions, and even if that fails, there will be more appeals and delays. Judge Chutkan initially paused the case in December 2023.
The Judge issued a new order
The new order came days before potential jury selection, with the Judge writing, “The court will set a new schedule if and when the mandate is returned.” Experts agreed that every delay is a win for the Trump campaign.
All eyes on Georgia
One of the most interesting cases, the RICO charges in Georgia, was overshadowed by a now-confirmed affair between the DA and one of the prosecutors. Trump and co-defendants were charged in relation to the 2020 election, but more will be known about the case’s future after the February 15 hearing.
Why D.C. and NYC, and not Florida?
Trump was also charged for allegedly mishandling classified documents and storing them in the Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida. However, according to Axios, the cases in D.C. and New York are more likely to find the former president guilty due to a “hostile environment.”
New reports allege the FBI missed two rooms
Special Counsel Jack Smith’s investigation suggested that the FBI overlooked two rooms during the 2022 raid, ABC News wrote. Trump’s 2024 campaign did not directly respond but told ABC News, ” [They are] just desperate attempts at election interference.”
Alvin Bragg’s case
The Manhattan DA, Alvin Bragg, announced the first out of four indictments in April last year. The ex-president was charged with 34 counts over “orchestrating his ‘catch and kill’ scheme through a series of payments that he then concealed through months of false business entries” between 2015 and 2017.
The trial should start on March 25
The case is set for trial on March 25, and so far, there have been no indications there would be delays. The presidential immunity argument plays no role since the case primarily focuses on Trump’s business deals before the 2016 election.
Trump in courtrooms
Axios also claims that, according to their sources, Trump will play “the courtroom theatrics.” One person told the outlet, “You can’t be defensive or never talk about it because that just makes you look guilty,” adding, “Your only option is to play it up.”
Pollings and the potential guilty verdict
While 70 percent of GOP voters believe Trump is innocent, he still needs to secure independent votes to win the election and make all the legal troubles vanish. But, in battleground states, over half of voters would not vote for Trump if found guilty, a recent Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll found.
Some would even switch to Biden
An October New York Times and Siena College polling found that six percent of voters would switch from Trump to Biden if he gets convicted. Though it sounds like a minor number, The Times wrote, “enough, potentially, to decide the election.” Read the whole report on Axios.
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